FxWirePro: Sterling Gains Momentum But Long-Term Prospects Still Edgy – Capitalize on 2m/2w OTC Bids & Deploy ‘DDPS’ Ahead of FOMC
FxWirePro: Turkish Lira Signals Further Depreciation Pressures – FxWirePro’s USD/TRY ‘Debit Call Spread’ Delivers As Desired
FxWirePro: What s Driving USD/JPY? Capitalize on 2m/2w OTC Bids & Deploy Diagonal Put Spreads To Hedge
U.K.’s flash PMI indices indicate decline in business activity in November, composite index falls to 47.4
FxWirePro: Can RBA’s Dovish Rhetoric Stimulates Aussie Dollar? OTC Updates & Options Strategy Ahead of MPS
Sniffing a Peg Break Series: Koruna- Euro peg likely to break soon
According to talks and rumors in the market, the Czech Central Bank, which has kept the Czech Koruna (CZK) pegged with the Euro since 2013 at 27 per euro could soon break away from this monetary policy regime. In an attempt to prevent the economy to drop into a deflationary state and to protect the country’s exports to the monetary union, the central bank has maintained this peg but has been forced to buy foreign currency to compensate for the strength in Koruna. After the European Central Bank (ECB) introduced quantitative easing in 2015, the bank has been forced to buy at an unprecedented rate. Czech forex reserve has soared from just $40 billion in 2013 to $85 billion in December last year.
The current interest rate maintained by Czech central bank is 0.05 percent, a much higher compared to European Central bank’s -0.4 percent, already provides investors with an incentive to buy Koruna against the Euro and it would become extremely difficult to maintain the peg if the Czech central bank increases the rates further. The 2 percent inflation figure in December is calling for the central bank to increase rates or face the risk of runaway inflation leading to fast rate hikes.