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One of the biggest risks threatening global economy and financial markets this year and over the next few year is reflation, a rather rapid return of inflation. While central banks are waiting to embrace inflation, it poses significant risks of wind up in global stimulus, which as of now stands around $30 trillion. Bond market is especially at risk where Inflation could act as a double edged sword, as investors are likely to demand larger yield compensation and face additional selling pressure due to balance sheet shrinkage. Recent rise in commodities’ price including oil are likely to be initial jitters of reflation. In this series, we will be keeping a close watch over inflationary pressure and keep our readers, traders and investors prepared for it.

Global Reflation Series

FxWirePro: Pound may end its longest consecutive rise in 10 months

Mar 08, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Commentary

Short covering, broad based weakness in Dollar and risk affinity that has so far boosted GBP/USD, may lose its steam going ahead. Todays release of weaker than expected trade balance and worst slump in Chinas exports...

Global Reflation Series

Bearish outlook for Gilts in 2016

Feb 18, 2016 11:29 am UTC| Insights & Views

At European leaders meeting on February 18th and 19th, there is scope for an agreement to be reached over the renegotiated terms of Britains EU membership, clearing the way for a referendum in June. If the UK were to...

Global Reflation Series

Any supply/demand mismatch effect of ECB's QE expansion likely to come beforehand

Oct 09, 2015 05:37 am UTC| Commentary

The impact of ECB making the existing QE programme more expansive on Bund yields, should be through the reflationary effect, especially if risky asset and oil prices stabilise/move higher and this should put upward...

Global Reflation Series

Japan needs expansion of nominal GDP through reflationary policies

Sep 29, 2015 04:40 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The original goal of Abenomics was to expand nominal GDP through reflationary policies, as it perceived shrinking nominal GDP to be the largest problem facing the Japanese economy. This policy is leading Japan in the right...

Global Reflation Series

Japan's Q3 GDP growth likely positive, economic sentiment firm but real economy and inflation weak

Aug 18, 2015 11:36 am UTC| Insights & Views

Japans economy contracted by 0.4% Q/Q in Q2 in "real" or inflation-adjusted terms, while on annual terms it fell 1.6 per cent, less than the 2.2 per cent fall expected, data released on Monday showed. While the drop was...

Global Reflation Series

Japan's economy likely at start of full scale reflation

Aug 17, 2015 05:18 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Due to the fall in oil prices, Japans CPI has stalled, while wages have been increasing since the start of the new fiscal year in April. As a result, real household income is recovering and consumer sentiment is now...

Global Reflation Series

Disinflation still remains rampant across Euro zone

Jul 16, 2015 10:41 am UTC| Insights & Views

In spite of European Central Banks (ECB) sincerest efforts disinflation and threat of deflation still remains rampant across Euro zone, which is hiding behind headline positive inflation report. In June European monetary...

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Economy

Why China’s economy has hit a wall

Chinas annual parliamentary meetings in Beijing came to a close on March 11. They were conducted under great pressure: a weak economy and high expectations from both the domestic public and international observers as to...

Vladimir Putin’s gold strategy explains why sanctions against Russia have failed

There are more than 16,000 sanctions imposed against Russia. Yet the Russian economy and war machine grew by 3.6 per cent in 2023 and is projected to grow another 2.6 in 2024. Nearly six per cent of Russias gross...

Mentorship is key to improving social and economic outcomes for Black youth

Black youth in Canada experience poorer educational achievement than other children and youth, which leads to subsequent poor economic outcomes. A series of problems and barriers contribute to poor educational outcomes....

There’s an extra $1 billion on the table for NT schools. This could change lives if spent well

The federal and Northern Territory governments have just made a historic funding announcement of about A$1 billion for schools in the territory. This includes an extra $737.7 million from the federal government and an...

Undersea cables for Africa’s internet retrace history and leave digital gaps as they connect continents

Large parts of west and central Africa, as well as some countries in the south of the continent, were left without internet services on 14 March because of failures on four of the fibre optic cables that run below the...

Politics

SpaceX Builds Spy Satellites for US; Russia Warns of Military Response

Russia has issued a stark warning to the United States, stating that the use of SpaceXs satellites for espionage could render them targets for military action. This follows revelations that SpaceX is constructing a spy...

Deepfakes are still new, but 2024 could be the year they have an impact on elections

Disinformation caught many people off guard during the 2016 Brexit referendum and US presidential election. Since then, a mini-industry has developed to analyse and counter it. Yet despite that, we have entered 2024 a...

Political donations rules are finally in the spotlight – here’s what the government should do

Australias political donations rules are woefully inadequate, but donations reform is finally on the agenda. The federal government has signalled its interest in reform and will soon begin briefing MPs on its plan. Greater...

With nominations decided, Trump leads Biden in US polls

Joe Biden and Donald Trump have both secured their parties nominations for the November 5 United States general election by winning a majority of all delegates to their parties conventions, including delegates not yet...

Science

How do airplanes fly? An aerospace engineer explains the physics of flight

Airplane flight is one of the most significant technological achievements of the 20th century. The invention of the airplane allows people to travel from one side of the planet to the other in less than a day, compared...

The mystery of consciousness shows there may be a limit to what science alone can achieve

The progress of science in the last 400 years is mind-blowing. Who would have thought wed be able to trace the history of our universe to its origins 14 billion years ago? Science has increased the length and the quality...

What is minoxidil, the anti-balding hair growth treatment? Here’s what the science says

Hair loss (also known as alopecia) often affects the scalp but can occur anywhere on the body. Its very common and usually nothing to worry about; about half of Australian men show signs of visible baldness at age 50 and...

Our survey of the sky is uncovering the secrets of how planets are born

When we look out to the stars, it is typically not a yearning for the distant depths of outer space that drives us. When we are looking out there, we are truly looking back at ourselves. We try to understand our place in...

Archeoastronomy uses the rare times and places of previous total solar eclipses to help us measure history

Total solar eclipses have fascinated and terrified people for centuries. Today, we know that total solar eclipses like the upcoming eclipse on April 8 are caused by a cosmic coincidence when the moon comes between the...

Technology

Shiba Inu's Burn Rate Soars by 1,200%, BTC Eyes $80K Pre-Halving Rally

The Shiba Inu community witnesses a staggering 1,200% spike in its burn rate, fueling optimism for a bullish rally, while experts predict Bitcoin (BTC) will approach $80,000 ahead of its next halving. Shiba Inus Burn...

Take-Two Interactive Buys Gearbox Entertainment Company From Embracer

Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. announced it is acquiring Gearbox Entertainment, which the Embracer Group is slashing from its portfolio. The New York-based video game holding firm said the deal is valued at $460...

Xiaomi Revs Up: SU7 Unveiled, Set to Outpace Tesla, BYD with Sub-500K Yuan Price Tag

As Xiaomi ventures into electric vehicles, it positions itself in Chinas competitive EV sector, focusing on pricing and market disruption. The debut of its first electric vehicle, the SU7, marks a significant move after...

Ferrari, SK On Join Forces to Develop Next-Generation Supercar Batteries

Ferrari NV, an Italian luxury sports car maker, has teamed up with SK On, a South Korean electric vehicle battery manufacturer, to produce next-generation batteries. The partners will work on producing eco-friendly...
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