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AUD/JPY broke below channel support at 87.75, test of 85.31 likely

AUD/JPY hit session lows of 86.51, but has kept above daily cloud, breaks below into the cloud could see further weakness, pair could then test 85.31 (61.8% Fib of 81.97 to 90.72 rise). The Aussie dives deeper into the r…

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AUD/JPY broke below channel support at 87.75, test of 85.31 likely
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  • AUD/JPY hit session lows of 86.51, but has kept above daily cloud, breaks below into the cloud could see further weakness, pair could then test 85.31 (61.8% Fib of 81.97 to 90.72 rise).
     
  • The Aussie dives deeper into the red, markets completely ignored better than expected China's macro updates released over the weekend, focus now remains on the Wednesday's Fed lift-off.
     
  • Oil prices that hover near at seven-year lows negatively impacts the LNG exports from the resource-rich Australia, weighing further on the Aussie.
     
  • Immediate support for the pair is seen at 86.51 (Session low Dec 14) and further below at 86.35 (50% Fib of 81.97 to 90.72 rise).
     
  • Bearish invalidation seen if the pair re-enter channel base at 87.80.

Recommendation: For now we find it good to sell rallies in the pair around 87.30, SL: 87.80, TP: 85.35

Resistance Levels:

R1: 87.38 (38.2% Fib of 81.97 to 90.72 rise)

R2: 87.80 (Channel base resistance)

R3: 88.0 (Nov 17 high)

Support Levels:

S1: 86.51 (Session low Dec 14)

S2: 86.35 (50% Fib of 81.97 to 90.72 rise)

S3: 86.26 (Cloud top)

 

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