Dollar index trading at 96.7 (-0.60%).
Strength meter (today so far) - Euro +0.74%, Franc +0.23%, Yen +0.36%, GBP +0.61%
Strength meter (since last week) - Euro +1.56%, Franc 1.61%, Yen +0.56%, GBP -0.25%
EUR/USD -
Trading at 1.098
Trend meter -
- Long term - Sell, Medium term - Sell, Short term - Buy
Support -
- Long term - 1.048-1.036, Medium term - 1.065-1.06, Short term - 1.077-1.075, Immediate - 1.088-1.0855
Resistance -
- Long term - 1.1035-1.11, Medium term - 1.102-1.11, Short term - 1.102-1.105
Economic release today -
- German IFO business climate rose to 107.9 from previous 106.8
- IFO expectations rose to 103.9 from previous 102.5.
- IFO current assessment rose to 112 from previous 111.3.
Commentary -
- Euro rose from around support at 1.09 and tested the resistance above 1.10 after the release of US durable goods order, however failed to break above so far.
GBP/USD -
Trading at 1.492
Trend meter -
- Long term - Range/Sell, Medium term - Sell, Short term - Range
Support -
- Long term - 1.425-1.417, Medium term - 1.462-1.455, Short term - 1.475-1.472, Immediate - 1.485-1.482
Resistance -
- Long term - 1.553-1.56, Medium term - 1.516-1.52, Short term - 1.498-1.502
Economic release today -
- BBA mortgage application rose to 37.3K from previous 36.5K
Commentary -
- GBP is taking cue from broad-based dollar weakness or strength, however failing to gain much ground while rising.
USD/JPY -
Trading at 119.3
Trend meter -
- Long term - Buy, Medium term - Range, Short term - Sell/Range
Support -
- Long term - 113.7-112.9, Medium term - 115.7-115, Short term - 119.5-119.2
Resistance -
- Long term - 125, Medium term - 122, Short term - 122, Immediate - 120.8-121.1
Economic release today -
- NIL
Commentary -
- Yen is moving with low volatility. Price is trading continuously in the support zone, but has not broken below 119.2 so far.
USD/CHF -
Trading at 0.957
Trend meter -
- Long term - Buy, Medium term - Sell/Range, Short term - Sell
Support -
- Long term - 0.88, Medium term - 0.937, Short term - 0.945
Resistance -
- Long term - 1.174, Medium term - 1.025-1.02, Short term - 0.997
Economic release today -
- SNB to release quarterly bulletin at 14:00 GMT.
Commentary -
- Franc has broken below support of 0.96, it might weaken as low as 0.89 should the dollar weaken broad based. Today it tested lows around 0.955


Fed Near Neutral Signals Caution Ahead, Shifting Focus to Fixed Income in 2026 



