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Mixed messages for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP: BofA Merrill Lynch

In both instances, the trends for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP remain lower. However, in the very near term, the messages are diverging. EUR/USD risks a squeeze higher to 1.1211, potentially 1.1389, while EUR/GBP looks to be topp…

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In both instances, the trends for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP remain lower. However, in the very near term, the messages are diverging. 

EUR/USD risks a squeeze higher to 1.1211, potentially 1.1389, while EUR/GBP looks to be topping now following its break of 2wk trendline (now 0.7300) and old support at 0.7304/0.7295. Given these divergences we remain on the sidelines waiting for these two pairs to confirm one another. 

Either EUR/USD needs to break 1.0613 (the Mar-19 low) to confirm a resumption of the larger bear trend, or EUR/GBP needs to break 0.7334 to say that the corrective environment remains.  

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