Net capital flows in emerging markets probably rose in Q1 2015

According to Capital economics on a twelve-month rolling basis, net capital flows in emerging markets probably rose in Q1 2015, compared to the previous quarter. This was due to a bigger increase in net inflows than in net outflows.

Net capital inflows during Q4 were just below $1.6trn, on a twelve month rolling basis, which is almost $700bn less than their peak in 2011. As a share of emerging market GDP, net capital inflows in Q4 were less than 6%, which is also significantly below their peak of nearly 14% in 2008.

On a twelve-month rolling basis, net capital inflows in Latin America and Emerging Europe fell slightly in Q1, compared to the previous quarter, but rose in Emerging Asia. They amounted to around $1.1trn in Emerging Asia, $0.4trn in Latin America and $0.04trn in Emerging Europe. Portfolio inflows make up a little over a third of net capital inflows in emerging markets, with the majority destined for Emerging Asia.