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Rising inflation will continue to weigh on South Africa's consumer spending

Data released on Wednesday show that CPI inflation in South Africa rose to 4.4% y/y in April, which will continue to weigh on consumer spending. Other sectors were stronger, but Capital Economics expects GDP growth slipp…

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Data released on Wednesday show that CPI inflation in South Africa rose to 4.4% y/y in April, which will continue to weigh on consumer spending.  

Other sectors were stronger, but Capital Economics expects GDP growth slipped to around 2.0% q/q saar, down from 4.1% in Q4 2014.

South Africa's Monetary Policy Committee will probably elect to retain the repo rate at 5.75% today. Rising inflation, however, makes a 25bp hike likely over the coming three months or so. 

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