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Standard Chartered Bank: Exports likely slowed in January

Quotes from Standard Chartered Bank The Department of Statistics will announce January trade data on 6 March. We expect export growth to have slowed to 0.8% y/y from 2.7% in December. Weaker commodity prices will affect …

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Quotes from Standard Chartered Bank

  • The Department of Statistics will announce January trade data on 6 March. We expect export growth to have slowed to 0.8% y/y from 2.7% in December. Weaker commodity prices will affect Malaysia's export performance.
  • Tapis crude oil prices fellby about 57% y/y in January. Liquefied natural gas prices have also declined, but weexpect the pass-through to export values to be delayed due to contracted prices.

  • Conversely, the weak Malaysian ringgit (MYR) may support the value of exports inMYR terms. 

  • We expect imports to have risen a modest 0.3% y/y, partly due to strong imports in December.

  • We forecast a January trade balance of MYR 6.7bn.

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