Economists in an October 2026 Wall Street Journal survey projected U.S. 10-year Treasury yields of 3.95% to 5.63% for December 2027, Econbrowser reported, showing widely varying expectations for a borrowing benchmark.
The endpoints are 1.68 percentage points apart. Econbrowser identified them as the survey’s lowest and highest estimates for December 2027, rather than yields already recorded in the bond market.
The Journal linked the rise in yields since summer to growth, inflation pressure and fiscal concerns. It reported that many surveyed economists were revisiting their assumptions about demand for Treasurys.
The Journal described higher borrowing costs for mortgage borrowers, companies and the federal government. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions, so a higher yield corresponds to a lower price for an existing bond.
Recent market readings cover a different time horizon. EconoTimes previously reported a 22-basis-point decline in the 10-year yield to 5.09%; the survey estimates concern December 2027.
