Turkey's recent industrial production data disappointed in September as the output growth recorded a sharp fall of 2.8% y/y against 7.2% y/y in previous month.
The data indicates the economy fell into serious recession ahead of the November re-election. Analysts anticipates weaker GDP growth in Q3, expected to release next month.
The result of the election of course holds new promise for business and consumer confidence -- and analysts anticipate a solid growth in the PMI and fixed investment spending once a new economic policy agenda is in place.
"Such concerns are playing a role in the market as can be seen from the lira's shaky behaviour in recent days; the lira has reversed its post-election rally entirely. We see USD-TRY at 2.90 at end-December", says Commerzbank.
Commentary
Weak industrial production to affect Turkish Lira
Turkey's recent industrial production data disappointed in September as the output growth recorded a sharp fall of 2.8% y/y against 7.2% y/y in previous month. The data indicates the economy fell into serious recession a…
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