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Trading a peg-break/withdrawal has been one of the most successful trades in history. George Soros name went into financial history as he successfully traded peg break of UK pound and German Deutsche Mark earning about a Billion Dollar. These opportunities still persists in modern financial market, evident by 40% appreciation of Euro-Franc in January peg withdrawal by Swiss National Bank. In this series, we hunt for such opportunities.

Fed Liftoff Series

Currency Peg Series

FED liftoff series – Rise of C-Dollar

Dec 16, 2015 10:45 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

D-day is finally here, last FOMC meeting of the year, decision today, in which FED is widely expected to increase rates from zero bound by a hike of 25 basis points, almost a decade after last one. The decision would be...

Currency Peg Series

Renminbi Series

CNY further de-peg from the USD

Dec 14, 2015 15:03 pm UTC| Commentary

The PBoC has launched a new trade-weighted exchange rate for the CNY, called the CFETS RMB Index, with different composition and weights than the BIS currency basket. This move is likely to demonstrate that the CNY will...

Currency Peg Series

USD/CNY to trade at 6.60 by end-2016 despite further de-peg

Dec 14, 2015 07:25 am UTC| Commentary

The central bank of China announced a new currency index last Friday, referred to CFETS RMB Index. The CFETS RMB Index is mainly a trade-weighted exchange rate of the CNY, which is measured against a basket of 13...

Currency Peg Series

Currency War Series

Another dull day from SNB?

Dec 10, 2015 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Swiss National Bank will announce its monetary policy decisions at 8:30 GMT today. Economic conditions Switzerland GDP is around $ 685 billion however growth rate has sharply slowed down. In third quarter economy...

Currency Peg Series

Currency War Series

Saudi's USD/SAR's peg likely to break?

Nov 24, 2015 05:27 am UTC| Commentary

Off-late oil price declines have driven the speculations higher about the USD/SAR pegs breaking possibility. This is unlikely. 12 month forwards are already setting to price in SAR weakness. This clearly signals that...

Currency Peg Series

RMB’s peg to USD will have to go probably sooner

Oct 26, 2015 06:52 am UTC| Commentary

The PBoC is getting better and better at seizing the right timing for monetary policy easing. This move is clearly responding to the still weak growth data released earlier. Modest inflationary pressures, as indicated by...

Currency Peg Series

Sniffing a peg break series - HKD peg under pressure, trapped in FED hike and Chinese slowdown

Oct 13, 2015 11:18 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

For almost a month Hong Kong Dollar peg is under strain on the strong side, prompting authorities to intervene in the market. Though, theoretically a central bank can protect a peg, on strong domestic currency side by...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

AI Protocol Render (RNDR) Soars 15% As Bitcoin Fights For Balance

As Bitcoin grapples with market volatility, altcoin Render (RNDR) stands out with a remarkable 15% surge, showcasing its resilience amid the crypto markets tumult. This surge comes as Bitcoin struggles to find stability,...

Huawei's Covert US Funding Scheme Raises Eyebrows Amid Export Ban

The revelation of Huaweis discreet sponsorship of U.S. research through a Washington-based foundation has reignited concerns about the efficacy of the export ban. Despite regulatory hurdles, the tech giant managed to fund...

Crypto.com's F1 Sponsorship Expansion Sparks Global Visibility Drive

Crypto.com, one of the top exchanges in the digital currency ecosystem, is set to expand its sporting ad budget. Notably, the trading platform is looking to expand its dominance in its push for global...

Stablecoins Set to Overtake Visa, Ripple CEO Affirms XRP and ETH Not Securities

Stablecoins are poised to challenge Visas dominance in payment volume, marking a significant shift in the crypto landscape. Meanwhile, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse asserts that XRP and Ethereum (ETH) are not securities,...
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