Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields 
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand 
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges 
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One 
Mexico's Undervalued Equity Market Offers Long-Term Investment Potential 
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close 
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data 
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data 
Bank of America Posts Strong Q4 2024 Results, Shares Rise 
Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts 
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data 
Urban studies: Doing research when every city is different 
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift? 
Gold -
Ichimoku Analysis (4-hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $2042.64
Kijun-Sen- $2046.24
Gold pared most of its gains after stellar US jobs data. The US economy added 353000 jobs in Jan, compared to a forecast of 180000. Unemployment came in line with expectations of 3.70%. Wage inflation rose to 4.5% higher than the estimate of 4.1%. The chance of an early rate cut diminished after the US Non-farm payroll. The yellow metal hit a low of $2023 at the time of writing and is currently trading around $2023.52.
The number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits jumped to a two-month high of 224000 last week, below the estimate of 212000.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in Mar increased to 82.5% from 52.3% a week ago.
US dollar index- Bullish. Minor support around 103.50/102.75. The near-term resistance is 104.50/106.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - bullish (negative for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bullish (negative for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2020, a break below targets of $2000/$1970/$1956. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2040 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2060/$2070/$2080/$2100.
It is good to buy on dips around $2000 with SL around $1970 for TP of $2065/$2080.
.
Silver-
Silver declined sharply due to the strong US dollar. It trades above 21 and 55- EMA and long-term MA (200- EMA) in the 4-hour chart. The near-term resistance is around $22.75 and a break above confirms an intraday bullishness. A jump to $23/$23.35 is possible. It is immediate support at around $22.40. Any break below target $21.90/$21.50.
Crude oil-
WTI crude oil prices tumble sharply despite the escalation of geo-political tension in the Middle East. the increase in production by major countries like the US, Canada, Guyana, and Venezuela.
Major resistance- $75/$78. Significant support- $70/$68.
Feb 5th, 2024, US ISM services PMI (1:30 pm GMT)
Feb 8th, 2024, US initial jobless claims (1:30 pm GMT)
