The Nov. 3, 2026, midterms will determine which party controls Congress, and that balance could shape when U.S. digital-asset rules are set and what they contain.
That policy debate includes legislation such as the Clarity Act.
Bitcoin (BTC) returned 24.5% in the 12 months after the 2014 midterms, 44.9% after the 2018 election and 92.3% after the 2022 vote. Three election cycles offer too little evidence for a reliable pattern. In the month following the 2018 vote, BTC dropped 45.5%.



