Democrats held an 11-point advantage over Republicans among registered voters in a national congressional ballot poll, as most respondents said living costs were worsening ahead of elections that will determine control of Congress.
In the initial question, 47% preferred Democratic candidates and 36% favored Republicans; 11% were unsure. A follow-up asking undecided voters which party they leaned toward put Democrats ahead 50% to 41%. The initial margin was one percentage point narrower than in the Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed Oct. 19.
A total of 73% described the cost of living as worsening. On the parties’ economic approaches, responses favored Democrats, 37% to 33%. Earlier Reuters/Ipsos surveys had given Republicans the stronger rating on economic management. Reuters reported that inflation and higher gasoline prices after U.S. strikes on Iran in February have become part of the midterm debate.
Democratic respondents reported greater interest in voting: 46% described themselves as very enthusiastic about the midterms, versus 30% of Republicans. Among those the survey identified as most likely to vote, Democrats led 53% to 44%.
The survey records national preference; House and Senate control is decided in separate district and state races. The Independent reported that analysts see Democrats as better positioned to win the House than the Senate, and that Republicans have advantages in some local contests. Republicans currently hold majorities in both chambers; The Independent said losing either could complicate President Donald Trump’s agenda during the final two years of his term.
EconoTimes has previously reported the poll’s 11-point ballot margin and Trump’s 32% approval rating. Reuters/Ipsos surveyed 1,679 U.S. adults online over five days, including 1,280 registered voters. The margin of error for registered voters was 3 percentage points. The Tuesday, Nov. 3, midterm elections will decide control of Congress.
