A Polymarket market tracking whether Ether (ETH) reaches $2,300 before November ends showed 92% odds at 9:57 a.m. ET (14:57 UTC) Sunday, Nov. 1, after gaining 44% over 24 hours.
It applies to the rest of November, and settlement is based on Binance’s ETH/USDT market: a one-minute candle with a high of at least $2,300 before the deadline qualifies.
Other exchanges and Binance trading pairs are outside the contract’s terms. A qualifying high locks in a Yes outcome even if ETH later falls below $2,300.
Without a qualifying candle by the contract deadline, the result is No; the threshold concerns whether ETH touches $2,300 during the window, not its closing price for November.
The 92% is the market’s estimate of the outcome at the snapshot, not confirmation that ETH has hit the level or that the contract has settled.
