Scheduled for release today, February 18, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) from its January 27–28, 2026, conference offera thorough understanding of the Fed's discussions. Markets expect attention on the committee's 10-2 vote to keep the federal funds rate at 3.5%–3.75%, two dissents for a 25bp cut, and fears about tariff-driven inflation.
Important Expectations
Investors want information on tariff effects, labor market easing, and the timeframe for possibly lowering interest rates; CME FedWatch indicates 90% chance of no change in March. If economic strength lasts, minutes could expose opinions on a "high-rate plateau" through late 2026, affecting company plans, including debt management.
Influence Market
The release is the highlight of the month, possibly influencing USD pairs and stocks; a hawkish posture might support the dollar; a dovish attitude might encourage cut bets for June or afterwards. For more context, match it with today's housing starts and robust product data.


Japan Signals Surprise Yen Intervention Strategy as BOJ Hawkish Stance Puts FX Traders on Alert
Gold Surges Past $4150 on Dovish Fed Signals and Weak Jobs Data; Bullish Outlook Prevails
BOJ May Raise Japan Growth Forecast While Keeping Focus on Inflation Risks
Japan Producer Inflation Hits 7.1% in June, Fueling BOJ Rate Hike Expectations
China Keeps Loan Prime Rates Unchanged for 13th Straight Month as Policymakers Prioritize Credit Demand Recovery
Fed Reaffirms 2% Inflation Goal, Vows Forceful Action to Anchor Price Expectations
South Korea Central Bank Set to Raise Interest Rates as Inflation Stays Elevated
Morgan Stanley Names Marks & Spencer Top European Retail Pick, Sees Strong Upside
Supreme Court Backs Lisa Cook, Defends Federal Reserve Independence Against Trump Firing Attempt
RBNZ Raises Interest Rates to 2.50%, Signals More Tightening as Inflation Risks Persist 



