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• AUD/JPY dropped sharply on Monday as investors flocked to the safe-haven Japanese yen amid concerns over a Chinese startup launching a free open-source AI model.
• Chinese startup DeepSeek launched a free assistant using cheaper chips and less data, challenging the market's view that AI will drive demand across the chip-to-data center supply chain.
•The week ahead features key interest rate decisions from central banks worldwide, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank.
•The technical outlook remains bearish and points to eventual bigger gains, fourteen-day momentum is negative, reinforcing the scope for a bigger drop.
• Immediate resistance is located at 98.78(50% fib), any close above will push the pair towards 98.82 (61.8% fib).
• Immediate support is seen at 96.38 (23.6% fib) and break below could take the pair towards 95.93 (Lower BB).
Recommendation: Good to sell around 97.40, with stop loss of 98.80 and target price of 96.30
