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• AUD/USD eased on Thursday as the initial optimism surrounding U.S.–Iran peace talks has begun to fader.
• The ceasefire appears fragile, with Iran citing multiple violations of the agreement with the U.S., keeping the market on edge.
• This geopolitical uncertainty is limiting risk appetite and weighing on the AUD.
•Technical potential exists for a rally toward 0.7126, but lingering geopolitical risks and possible USD strength from U.S. economic data keep the pair range-bound for now.
• Market attention is on Today’s U.S. releases, including February Core PCE (expected +0.4% m/m) and Q4 GDP (expected +0.7% q/q). Stronger-than-expected prints could bolster the USD.
• Immediate resistance is located at 0.7070 (38.2%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 0.7123 (Higher BB).
• Support is seen at 0.6990(50%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 0.6898(61.8%fib)
Recommendation: Good to buy around 0.7030 with stop loss of 0.6940 , and target price of 0.7100
