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FxWirePro: AUD/USD retakes 0.72 post RBA-led wild swings as Futures price out Dec easing

AUD/USD spiked to 0.7210 post RBA no change stance, then slid to 0.7110 on easing bias, and has now regained the 0.72 handle. Aussie bulls ignore RBA's further easing bias and cheer the central banks optimistic comments …

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AUD/USD spiked to 0.7210 post RBA no change stance, then slid to 0.7110 on easing bias, and has now regained the 0.72 handle.

  • Aussie bulls ignore RBA's further easing bias and cheer the central banks optimistic comments on economic outlook
     
  • The pair is pushing higher as futures price out Dec easing, futures market only pricing in around a 35% chance of Dec 25 BP rate cut
     
  • Also RBA Governor Stevens speaks Thursday and RBA SOMP released on Friday, the c.bank has chance to clarify intentions 
     
  • AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.7200, easing slightly after hitting highs of 0.7212
     
  • Strong resistance is seen at 0.72 (trendline) ahead of 0.7225 (21-day MA and 50% of 0.7382/0.7067 converge)
     
  • Stochs on hourlies show bearish crossover from overbought levels, correction lower could ensue
     
  • Supports on the downside are seen at 0.7162 (hourly 10 SMA), and further below at 0.7109 (cloud top)
     

Recommendation: Good to sell rallies around 0.7200, SL: 0.7240, TP: 0.7150

 

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