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FxWirePro: Aussie falls sharply against major peers after lower than expected retail sales data, RBA rate decision in focus

AUD/NZD is trading around 1.0417 marks. Pair made intraday high at 1.0439 and low at 1.0411 marks. Short term bias remains neutral till the time pair holds key support at 1.0416 marks. On the top side, a sustained close …

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FxWirePro: Aussie falls sharply against major peers after lower than expected retail sales data, RBA rate decision in focus
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  • AUD/NZD is trading around 1.0417 marks.
     
  • Pair made intraday high at 1.0439 and low at 1.0411 marks.
     
  • Short term bias remains neutral till the time pair holds key support at 1.0416 marks.
     
  • On the top side, a sustained close above 1.0547 will drag the parity higher towards 1.0647/1.0748/1.0823/1.0976 (January 2016 high) /1.1062 (30D EMA)/1.1123/1.1298/1.1317 levels respectively.
     
  • Alternatively, current downfall will take the parity down towards key supports around 1.0408 (June 9, 2016 low), 1.0362 and 1.0231 marks respectively.
     
  • Important to note here that, 20D, 30D and 55D EMA heads down and confirms bearish trend in a daily chart.
     
  • Australia June AIG services index decrease to 51.3 vs previous 51.5.
     
  • Australia May retail sales mm stays flat at 0.2 % (forecast 0.3 %) vs previous 0.2 %.
     
  • Australia May trade balance decrease to -2218 mln A$ (forecast -1500 mln A$) vs previous -1579 mln A$.
     
  • RBA will hold its board meeting today at 0430 GMT and almost all 37 economists polled by Reuters last week expect it to keep the cash rate unchanged at a record low 1.75 percent.

We prefer to take short position in AUD/NZD only below 1.0408, stop loss 1.0547 and target 1.0362/ 1.0231 marks.

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