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FxWirePro: Chinese yuan trades marginally lower despite robust trade balance data

USD/CNY is currently trading around 6.3254 marks. It made intraday high at 6.3326 and low at 6.3229 levels. Intraday bias remains slightly bullish till the time pair holds key support at 6.3100 mark. A sustained close ab…

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FxWirePro: Chinese yuan trades marginally lower despite robust trade balance data
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  • USD/CNY is currently trading around 6.3254 marks.
     
  • It made intraday high at 6.3326 and low at 6.3229 levels.
     
  • Intraday bias remains slightly bullish till the time pair holds key support at 6.3100 mark.
     
  • A sustained close above 6.3225 marks will test key resistances at 6.3495, 6.3625, 6.3855 and 6.4017 marks respectively.
     
  • Alternatively, a daily close below 6.3225 will drag the parity down towards key supports at 6.3100, 6.2942, 6.2827, 6.2584, 6.2322, 6.2196 and 6.1907 marks respectively.
     
  • PBOC sets yuan mid-point at 6.3239 / dlr.
     
  • Important to note here that 20D, 30D and 55D EMA heads down and confirms the bearish trend in a daily chart.
     
  • China Feb trade balance USD increase to 33.74 bln us (forecast 0.6 bln us) vs previous 20.35 bln us (revised from 20.34 bln us).
     
  • China Feb imports y/y decrease to 6.3 % (forecast 9.7 %) vs previous 36.9 %.
     
  • China Feb exports y/y increase to 44.5 % (forecast 13.6 %) vs previous 11.1 %.

We prefer to take short position on USD/CNY only below 6.3100, stop loss at 6.3495 and target of 6.2942/6.2584.

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