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FxWirePro: Cloud caps upside in GBP/AUD, further gains only on break above

GBP/AUD broke out of downward sloping channel at 1.6465 on Tuesday's trade. The pair is currently struggling to get past stiff resistance by daily cloud at 1.6608. Price was rejected at cloud base, the major has slipped …

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FxWirePro: Cloud caps upside in GBP/AUD, further gains only on break above
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  • GBP/AUD broke out of downward sloping channel at 1.6465 on Tuesday's trade.
     
  • The pair is currently struggling to get past stiff resistance by daily cloud at 1.6608.
     
  • Price was rejected at cloud base, the major has slipped lower to currently trade at 1.6497.
     
  • British Pound gained fresh traction after upbeat UK inflation data boosted BoE rate hike expectations on Tuesday.
     
  • However, the British Pound is now losing some of its initial shine after mixed results from the UK’s labour market report.
     
  • UK unemployment rate  ticked lower to 4.3% bettering estimates on the three months ended in July, while the claimant count change dropped by 2.8K.
     
  • Technical studies support upside in the pair. We notice bullish divergence on daily charts. Scope for test of 200-DMA at 1.6662 on break above daily cloud.
     
  • Weakness likely on retrace into channel. Break below channel top at 1.6450 to see drop till 20-DMA.

Support levels - 1.6450 (channel top), 1.6418 (5-DMA), 1.6350 (Sept 11 low)

Resistance levels - 1.6608 (daily cloud), 1.6660 (200-DMA), 1.67, 1.6720 (50% Fib retrace of 1.5789 to 1.7650 rally)

Recommendation: Stay long for target (200-DMA at 1.6660).

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