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FxWirePro: Cloud caps upside in GBP/AUD, further gains only on break above

  • GBP/AUD broke out of downward sloping channel at 1.6465 on Tuesday's trade.
     
  • The pair is currently struggling to get past stiff resistance by daily cloud at 1.6608.
     
  • Price was rejected at cloud base, the major has slipped lower to currently trade at 1.6497.
     
  • British Pound gained fresh traction after upbeat UK inflation data boosted BoE rate hike expectations on Tuesday.
     
  • However, the British Pound is now losing some of its initial shine after mixed results from the UK’s labour market report.
     
  • UK unemployment rate  ticked lower to 4.3% bettering estimates on the three months ended in July, while the claimant count change dropped by 2.8K.
     
  • Technical studies support upside in the pair. We notice bullish divergence on daily charts. Scope for test of 200-DMA at 1.6662 on break above daily cloud.
     
  • Weakness likely on retrace into channel. Break below channel top at 1.6450 to see drop till 20-DMA.

Support levels - 1.6450 (channel top), 1.6418 (5-DMA), 1.6350 (Sept 11 low)

Resistance levels - 1.6608 (daily cloud), 1.6660 (200-DMA), 1.67, 1.6720 (50% Fib retrace of 1.5789 to 1.7650 rally)

Recommendation: Stay long for target (200-DMA at 1.6660).

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