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FxWirePro- DXY Daily Outlook


Major support- 100

 

Major resistance- 102

 

DXY  gained momentum after  US ISM manufacturing PMI. It hit a low of 100.96 and is currently trading around 101.146.

 

Currency

Event

 

Forecast

Previous

12:15 pm

US

ADP non-farm employment change

99k

144K

122K

12:30 pm

USD

Unemployment claims

227k

231K

231K

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep decreased to 55% from 62% a week ago.

 

On the lower side, near-term support is around 100.60 and the violation below will drag the index down to 100/99.57/99/98. Significant resistance is around 101.60 and breach above targets 102/102.75/103.22. Overall bearish invalidation is only above  104.

 

Indicator (4-hour chart)

 

CCI (14)- Bearish

 

CCI (50)- Bearish

 

It is good to sell on rallies around 101.48-50 with SL around 102 for a TP of 100.60.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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