FxWirePro: EUR/CHF likely to touch 1.04 by end-Q4 2017 following uncertain political developments

The EUR/CHF currency pair is expected to depreciate by the end of the fourth quarter of 2017, following likelihood of uncertain political developments in the eurozone. An anticipated risk aversion will likely pressurize the EUR in the medium term. The Swiss franc will be guided overall by the path of risk aversion, depreciating against a strengthening greenback.

We foresee that EUR/CHF will touch 1.04 by the end of December 2017; USD/CHF, though, would broadly tend to rise with the USD's ascent. The CHF will remain fundamentally overvalued, tracking the overall path of the Swiss National Bank (SNB).

The likelihood of some destabilizing European political developments during 2017 are likely to see phases of risk aversion that put downward pressure on EUR/CHF. Further, the SNB will manage to contain the currency without cutting interest rates.

Meanwhile, the EUR/CHF traded at 1.07, up 0.14 percent, while at 9:00GMT, the FxWirePro's Hourly Swiss Franc Strength Index remained slightly bearish at -83.86 (a reading above +75 indicates a bullish trend, while that below -75 a bearish trend). For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex