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FxWirePro: EUR/JPY capped below 50-day MA, break above needed for further upside

  • EUR/JPY unable to hold gains above 50-day MA on Monday's trade.
     
  • Price action capped below 50-day MA today as we head into the European session.
     
  • Attention turns towards euro area inflation data with results from Spain and Germany due later today.
     
  • Expectations are for the drag from energy price inflation to continue to fade as the oil price has moved higher.
     
  • In July, the figure was slightly higher and continued to point to some economic progress despite Brexit vote.
     
  • Also, European Commission's economic sentiment indicator due today will provide more information about the state of the euro area economy.
     
  • Break above 50-DMA could see a test of 114.81 ((Aug 2nd high), 115.50 (June 16th low) and then 116 levels.
     
  • The pair finds major support by 20-DMA at 113.32 and further below at 113.10 (rising trendline).
     
  • Weakness only on break below 20-DMA, test of 112.36 then likely.
     

Recommendation: Good to go long on break above 114.40, SL: 113.30, TP: 114.81/ 115.50/ 115.75
 

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