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FxWirePro- EURUSD Daily Outlook

FxWirePro- EURUSD Daily Outlook

 

Ichimoku analysis (4-hour chart)

 

 Tenken-Sen- 1.08707

 

 Kijun-Sen- 1.09229

 

EURUSD declined more than 100 pips from  a minor top  It hit a low of 1.0828 yesterday and is currently trading around 1.08564.

 

Major economic data for the day

 

 Dec 5th, 2023,  ISM services manufacturing PMI (3:00 pm GMT)

 

     

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in Dec decreased to 97.50% from 99.70% a week ago.

 

 The US 10-year yield trades weak in rate cut hopes.The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to  -38% from -52%.

 

 

The pair trades below short-term 21 EMA, above  55 EMA, and long-term (200-EMA) in the 4-hour chart.  Any break below 1.0800 confirms further bearishness.A decline to 1.0760/1.0700 is possible. The near-term resistance is around 1.0 and any breach below targets is 1.0800/1.0760. Bullish invalidation only if it breaks below 1.0440.

 

   Indicator (4-hour chart)

 

   CCI – bearish

 

  Directional movement index – Bearish

 

It is good to sell on rallies around  1.0900-050 with SL around 1.0965 for a TP of 1.0765.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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