Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch 
Fed May Resume Rate Hikes: BofA Analysts Outline Key Scenarios 
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty 
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges 
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge 
S&P 500 Relies on Tech for Growth in Q4 2024, Says Barclays 
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data 
Indonesia Surprises Markets with Interest Rate Cut Amid Currency Pressure 
US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts 
Urban studies: Doing research when every city is different 
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation 
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures 
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields 
The US dollar index gained slightly after the US durable goods order. It hit a high of 105.59 and is currently trading around 105.76.
US Durable Goods orders rose 2.6% in Mar, compared to a forecast of 2.5%. Core Durable goods orders excluding transportation, new orders increased by 0.20%.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in June increased to 83.10% from 81.80% a week ago.
Major resistance- 106.50/107
Major support- 105.35/104.45
Economic data for the day
Apr 25th, 2024, US advance GDP q/q (12:30 pm GMT)
US initial jobless claims
EURUSD-
EURUSD hovers above 1.0700 following strong German IFO business data. It increased to 89.40 in Apr from 87.8 the previous month, compared to an estimate of 88.9.
Eurozone economic calendar today
Apr 25th, 2024, German Gfk consumer climate (6 am GMT)
Major resistance-1.0760,1.0800
Major support- 1.0660,1.0600
Yen-
The pair trades higher and hits the highest level since Jun 1990 despite the Japanese Finance Minister's comment about forex intervention risk. Any break above 155 confirms major bullishness.
Major Resistance- 156,157
Major support- 154.50,153.50
Canadian Dollar
The Canadian dollar declined marginally after dismal Canadian retail sales. It fell -0.01% mom vs 0.10%. Any break below 1.3650 confirms further bearishness.
Resistance- 1.3750,1.3800
Major support- 1.3650,1.3570
