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• GBP/NZD fell on Monday as traders reacted to Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s political crisis and growing expectations of further rate cuts by BOE.
• Starmer’s top aide Morgan McSweeney resigned Sunday over Peter Mandelson’s appointment, while communications chief Tim Allan quit Monday to allow a new No. 10 team.
• The Bank of England kept interest rates on hold last week, but only after an unexpectedly narrow 5-4 vote, and said borrowing costs are likely to fall if inflation eases further.
•Data this week, including January retail sales and December GDP figures, could give more clues on monetary policy.
• Immediate resistance is located at 2.2793 (38.2%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 2.2887(SMA 20).
• Immediate support is seen at 2.2575(23.6%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 2.2412(Lower BB).
Recommendation: Good to sell around 2.2650 with stop loss of 2.2750 and target price of 2.2500
