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FxWirePro: NZD/USD on track to test channel top at 0.7285, stay long

Fundamental Factors:

  • The Standard & Poor's, credit rating agency affirmed New Zealand's ‘AA’ foreign currency rating and AA+ local currency long-term sovereign credit rating and said its outlook remains stable.
  • A strong reading of China’s gross domestic product (GDP) to keep commodity currencies supported. 
  • Data showed China’s economy expanded 6.8 percent for the whole year of 2016


Technical Analysis:

  • NZD/USD recovers Yellen-induced slump, extends gradual grind higher.
  • The pair has edged lower from session highs at 0.7225.
  • Downside remains cushioned by 5-DMA at 0.7166, break below could see weakness upto 0.7091 (200-DMA).
  • Technicals support upside, we see scope for test of channel top at 0.7285.


Major support levels - 0.71 (38.2% Fib of 0.7485 to 0.6862 fall), 0.7089 (200-DMA), 0.7070 (Double bottom - Jan 13 & dec 5)

Major resistance levels - 0.7168 (cloud base), 0.7173 (50% Fib), 0.7187 (cloud top)

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-NZD-USD-finds-strong-support-at-200-DMA-weakness-only-on-break-below-496026) has hit TP1&2.

Recommendation: Bias higher. Book partial profits, stay long.

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