We could foresee lot of speculations happening around USDJPY currency cross.
The US was able to produce upbeat NFP numbers at 211K vs forecasts at 201K and no change in unemployment scenes.
But despite good set of preliminary GDP Q/Q numbers in U.S. and trade deficit has been contracted from previous 59.1B to 58.4B, dollar has been adversely reacting to these fundamental indicators.
This lackluster move is confirmed by the sluggish consumer confidence numbers (reported at 90.4 versus previous 99.1).
On the flip side, Japan reported healthy retail sales numbers at 1.8% versus previous -0.1%.
While industrial production is also improving from 1.1% to 1.4%.
Delta risk reversals of USDJPY for next 1-3month seem to signal the downward direction for this pair, dollar rebounds as per delta risk reversal computation coupled with various recent booming economic numbers of U.S and certainty on Fed's event on rate hike decision.
We don't see any reasons to short dollar but short term corrections up to 121.991 (23.6% fibo levels).
So, short ITM put with 3D expiry since implied volatility is inching lower which is good for option writers and buy 2 lots of ATM and OTM put with 10D expiries.
It is also understood that ATM contacts of USDJPY are gradually reducing implied volatilities (second least IVs which is good for option holders) ahead of much awaited fed's meet which is underway that could prop up market speculations again (see current 1w & 1m contracts).
We've combined positions with buying at the money and out of the money puts and, simultaneously, shorting an in the money put as well, these in the money puts are always at risk of exercise, but you have two advantages.
First, assignment can be covered by the long puts; second, time decay and implied volatility work in your favor on the short puts. This points out the importance of entering the position when implied volatility is higher than average.


DAX & CAC40 Score Perfect 100: Extremely Bullish With Major Levels to Watch as FTSE100 Hits 80
Major Pair Currency Score: NZD/USD and AUD/USD Lead Forex Rally with Perfect 100 Scores
FxWirePro : USD/CAD falls as strong Canadian jobs data lifts loonie
FxWirePro : EUR/NZD slips lower after soft US jobs report
FxWirePro : EUR/NZD holding below 38.2% fibo ahead of US data
FxWirePro: GBP/USD eases as dollar firms ahead of U.S. June non-farm payrolls report
FxWirePro: EUR/ AUD neutral in the near term, scope further downside
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD slips after surprise U.S. employment data
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
AUDJPY Bears Poised: Sell Rallies at 111.55 for 108 Target with 112.20 Stop
EUR/USD Rockets Past 1.1560 as Soft U.S. Jobs Data Fuel Fed Rate-Cut Surge
FxWirePro: GBP/USD rises as weak U.S. jobs data pressures dollar
NZDJPY Bears Lie in Wait: Sell Rallies at 93 for 90 Target with 94 Stop
Bitcoin Reclaims $65,000 as Easing Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Risk-On Rally




