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• USD/ZAR edged higher on Friday as investors looked ahead to the central bank's interest rate decision next week.
•The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) is set to announce its decision on the main lending rate, following a 25-basis-point cut at its previous meeting in November.
•This will be the second meeting since the finance minister officially confirmed that the central bank's inflation target is now 3%, from a range of 3-6%.
•The country's statistics agency released December inflation data this week, which showed headline consumer inflation increased to 3.6% year-on-year from 3.5% in November.
•Like other risk-sensitive currencies, the rand often takes cues from global drivers such as U.S. policy and has gained roughly 2% against the dollar since the beginning of 2026.
• Immediate resistance is located at 16.284(22nd high), any close above will push the pair towards 16.408(SMA 20).
• Strong support is seen at 16.076 (23.6%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 16.000(Psychological level)
Recommendation: Good to sell around 16.400 with stop loss of 16.750 and target price of 16.200
