• The USD/ZAR edged higher on Monday as rand weakened as investors weighed what the Federal Reserve might look like under President Trump's reported pick for chair Kevin Warsh.
• South African manufacturing sentiment fell in December to its lowest level for 2025, driven by steep declines in inventories and employment sub-indices.
•Investors will then turn their focus to vehicle sales data for January due around 1200 GMT, which will give a snapshot of consumer demand for big-ticket items.
•Like other risk-sensitive currencies, the rand often takes cues from global drivers such as U.S. policy in addition to local factors.
• Immediate resistance is located at 16.384(Higher BB), any close above will push the pair towards 16.475(Jan 20th high).
• Strong support is seen at 16.059 (38.2%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 15.756(Lower BB)
Recommendation: Good to sell around 16.200 with stop loss of 16.500 and target price of 16.000
