A Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and YouGov survey puts Indian American citizens’ support for Democratic House candidates 43 percentage points above Republican support, offering a snapshot of congressional preferences before Tuesday’s U.S. midterm election.
Among the U.S. citizens counted in the House voting analysis, 62% intended to vote for the Democratic candidate in their district, compared with 19% for the Republican. Of the rest, 5% said they would not cast a ballot, 2% preferred someone else and 12% had not decided. In states with Senate races, the Democratic candidate led 63% to 21%; Carnegie did not report the size of that subset. The findings represent intended choices, not turnout or final results.
Carnegie and YouGov collected online responses from 1,000 Indian American adults between Oct. 7 and 27, 2026. Carnegie described the survey as nationally representative and gave an overall margin of error of ±3.87 percentage points. Its voting analyses generally included 861 U.S. citizens.
Party identification showed little movement from January: 46% identified as Democrats, 19% as Republicans and 26% as independents, according to Carnegie. Among respondents planning to vote Democratic for Congress, 65% named support for the Democratic candidate or party as their main reason, while 35% said their primary motivation was opposition to the Republican candidate or party.
Carnegie described the House result as a rebound in Democratic support after Republican gains among Indian Americans in 2024. The historical figures are not a like-for-like measure: Carnegie’s 2024 survey found that 62% intended to vote for former Vice President Kamala Harris and 30% for President Donald Trump, while its January 2026 survey found 57% preferred a Democratic presidential candidate and 25% Trump. The report noted that those earlier surveys asked about presidential preferences, while the October poll asked about congressional candidates.
The Federal Election Commission lists the federal general election for Tuesday, Nov. 3.
