Kalshi’s year-end contract prices diverged Tuesday, with Bitcoin and Ether readings higher and XRP’s lower, showing different market-implied chances for three crypto assets to meet their named price thresholds.
Bitcoin (BTC) was priced at 20% for the $100,000 year-end target, up three percentage points from Monday. Ether (ETH)’s $3,500 contract rose to 15% from 12%, while XRP’s $2 target declined five points to 22% from 27%. Bitcoin’s $120,000 year-end target carried a 5% reading.
Kalshi’s earlier readings put Ether’s $3,500 contract at 23% on Aug. 29 and 36% on Sept. 22. Tuesday’s 15% is 21 points below the September reading. XRP’s $2 contract had stood at 52% on Aug. 25 and 61% on Sept. 23 in earlier readings.
An EconoTimes snapshot of the same contracts on Sunday showed Ether at 15%, Bitcoin at 18% and XRP at 23%. Tuesday’s readings were 15%, 20% and 22%, respectively, so the three assets followed different paths across the two snapshots.
Kalshi also listed October-end contracts. Bitcoin was at 5% for $87,500 and 4% for $90,000; Ether was at 2% for $3,000. XRP’s $1.60 target had a 7% reading, tied with its $1.70 target for the highest among its listed month-end levels.
Live market data showed Bitcoin at $79,937, down 0.29% over 24 hours; Ether at $2,316.80, down 0.24%; and XRP at $1.30, up 1.59%, as of 11:12 UTC. At that snapshot, all three spot prices were below the named year-end targets. These are spot prices, separate from Kalshi’s contract readings.
Each figure is Kalshi’s estimate for a target price by its stated deadline, not a record that the target was reached.
