Kalshi’s XRP $2 contract stood at 23% on Sunday, down from 61% on Sept. 23.
Bitcoin (BTC) had an 18% probability of reaching $100,000 by year-end, down five points from the previous day. Ether (ETH) gained three points to 15% for a $3,500 target. Ether was the only one of the three assets with a higher year-end reading. Bitcoin’s $120,000 target stood at 6%.
For contracts due at the end of October, Bitcoin’s $87,500 threshold was priced at 11%, down from 12%, while its $90,000 threshold stood at 5%. Ether’s $3,000 contract remained at 3%, and XRP’s $1.60 target stayed at 8%.
Kalshi data showed XRP’s year-end $2 reading at 46% on Aug. 27 and 61% on Sept. 23, before its latest decline. An EconoTimes snapshot from Oct. 22 put the same contract at 22%. Each percentage is a market-priced assessment of a threshold being reached by its stated deadline.
At 7:10 a.m. ET (11:10 UTC), XRP traded at $1.29, up 0.81% over 24 hours as of 11:10 UTC, according to CoinGecko and exchange spot data.



