Kalshi’s latest contracts put XRP’s chance of reaching $2 by year-end at 22% on Oct. 22, as near-term target probabilities for Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) and XRP all moved lower.
XRP’s year-end reading rose from 18% the previous day. Bitcoin’s probability for reaching $100,000 by year-end increased five percentage points to 27%, while Ether’s $3,500 contract held at 17%.
October contracts weakened across all three assets. Bitcoin’s month-end contracts priced the $87,500 threshold at 25%, down from 32%, and the $90,000 threshold at 13%. Ether’s probability for $3,000 dropped to 3% from 7%, and XRP’s odds for $1.60 declined to 9% from 14%.
Kalshi priced XRP’s year-end $2 threshold at 57% on Aug. 24 and 61% on Sept. 23. An EconoTimes snapshot from Oct. 17 put the same contract at 20%.
The percentages are Kalshi contract probabilities tied to specific price thresholds and deadlines; they do not indicate that an asset has already reached its target.
