Nate Silver’s paid post placed prediction markets alongside polls and models in a conversation with Galen Druke, with Wisconsin among the previewed subjects of their discussion.
Published Aug. 13, the post was titled “Prediction markets aren’t magic.” Its preview listed Wisconsin, models, polls and prediction markets as topics.
Silver wrote that the entry was not initially intended to be a full newsletter, but grew into a longer discussion of prediction markets. He also mentioned recovering from long nights spent preparing FLIPR. The page identifies the post as paid content.



