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Sell the Bounce": Gold Rally Stalls Near $4165 as Fed Hawks Slam the Door on Rate Cuts — Targets $4000/$3600

Gold pared most of its gains as Fed rate cut hopes fades.  After hitting a low around $4023  and it’s currently hovering near $4131.

The hawkish posture of the Fed has caused markets to lower their forecasts for near-term rate reductions as policymakers indicate that policy might remain tight for longer until inflation cools more clearly. In essence, that suggests that borrowing expenses might stay high for more of 2026, which helps the dollar and yields while depressing rate-sensitive assets like growth equities and cryptocurrency.

Technicals

CMP -$4130

Trend

4- Hour chart

Value

 

 

55 EMA

$4245

CMP < 55 EMA

Bearish

200- EMA

$4406

CMP < 200- EMA

Bearish

365- EMA

$4507

CMP < 365 EMA

Bearish

 Major support-$4000. Major bearishness below $4000. Any violation below targets $3605/$3000/$2800. Near-term resistance - $4200/$4245/$4300/$4400.

Momentum indicator (4-hour chart)

Inference

Value

CCI(50)

Bearish

-111.19

ADX

neutral

Strength increased from 29.15 to 31.12

 It is good to sell on rallies around $4160-65 with SL around $4225 for a TP of $4000/$3600.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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