Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum successfully navigated a major foreign policy challenge, securing a 30-day pause on U.S. tariffs after negotiations with President Donald Trump. The threatened 25% tariffs, aimed at curbing fentanyl trafficking and illegal migration, posed a serious economic risk to Mexico.
Sheinbaum’s strategic and measured response has been widely praised. Former Ambassador Jorge Guajardo called her handling of the situation “masterful,” while Lila Abed of the Wilson Center highlighted Mexico’s record fentanyl seizures as a key factor in securing the agreement. Unlike Canada’s Justin Trudeau, who announced retaliatory tariffs, Sheinbaum kept a diplomatic stance while warning of countermeasures.
Sheinbaum's approach has bolstered her popularity, with her approval rating rising to 77% since November. Many feared she would struggle in negotiations with Trump, but her ability to defend the North American trade pact reassured both her electoral base and private sector leaders. While the tariff pause is a temporary win, experts caution that Sheinbaum must deliver swift results on security and migration to maintain the agreement.
Her administration's emphasis on Mexican sovereignty and economic resilience has resonated with both supporters and opposition figures. Political scientist Denise Dresser noted that Mexico is not out of the woods yet, as future tariffs remain a possibility. However, Sheinbaum’s careful strategy has positioned her as a strong negotiator on the world stage.
With the U.S. election looming, Sheinbaum's diplomatic success may shape Mexico’s trade and security relations in the coming months.