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Singapore IP to have contracted in January-February

Singapore will release February industrial production (IP) data on 26 March.

Standard Chartered says...

  • We expect IP to have fallen 5.4% y/y, following a 0.9% increase in January; this translates into a 2.2% y/y drop in January-February owing to an unfavourable base effect, as IP grew 8% y/y in the same period last year. 

  • Production growth likely remained lacklustre across many sectors, including electronics, chemicals, and transport engineering.

  • External demand was also weak, as non-oil domestic exports fell 2.4% y/y in JanuaryFebruary. 

  • We expect IP growth to improve gradually over the course of 2015, but believe soft performance will weigh on GDP growth in the near term.

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