Societe Generale’s rates team sees 5.05% as a key threshold for the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, with a break above it potentially putting 5.36% in reach, in an analysis FXStreet published on Nov. 12.
The assessment identifies a chart gap from 5.16% to 5.18%, followed by October’s high around 5.36%, as higher reference points. It describes 4.81% to 5.05% as a possible near-term range, making a move above 5.05% a condition for that scenario.
Near 4.81%, the analysis sees two technical references converge: a trend line rising over several months and the peak from January 2025. It says the yield has advanced from that area and is testing its 50-day moving average.
The same analysis put U.S. 10-year interest-rate swaps near 4.60% as cash trading resumed, with support at 4.53% and resistance at 4.66%.
EconoTimes previously covered MissionSquare’s view of 5% as a possible hurdle for the same benchmark. Societe Generale’s assessment sets 5.05% as the upper edge of its near-term range.
