Kalshi’s Oct. 16 market snapshot put the implied chance of XRP reaching $2 by year-end at 34%, 16 points higher than the prior-day comparison reading of 18%.
The Bitcoin (BTC) contract assigned a 25% probability to $100,000 by year-end and 6% to $120,000. Ether (ETH) stood at 16% for $3,500, up two percentage points.
For targets due by the end of October, Kalshi showed 39% for Bitcoin at $87,500 and 24% at $90,000. Ether’s probability for $3,000 was 10%, while XRP’s for $1.60 was 21%.
A Thursday morning EconoTimes report put the same XRP target at 20%, after a 14-point decline from its earlier comparison. The Friday comparison instead used 18% as its starting figure, so the reports reflect separate snapshots.
The percentages are Kalshi prediction-market probabilities for specific price targets and deadlines; they do not show that any target was reached.
