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Michael Spagat

Michael Spagat

Professor of Economics and Head of Department, Royal Holloway

Michael Spagat has a PhD in Economics from Harvard and a BA in Economics and Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences from Northwestern. He has held research/teaching posts at the University of Illinois, Brown University, the New Economic School in Moscow, and the Institute of Economics of the Academia Sinica. He has written extensively on war and teaches a year long course on the economics of warfare.

Professor Spagat blogs at War, Numbers and Human Losses https://mikespagat.wordpress.com/

Global Geopolitics Series

Colombia did not vote 'no' in its peace referendum – what the statistics reveal

Oct 05, 2016 11:33 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The official line is that the no vote won the referendum in Colombia. The internationally lauded peace treaty with the FARC guerillas was rejected, and now nobody knows what the countrys fate will be. But did no...

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Economy

Brazil Extends Fuel Subsidies and Tax Relief Measures Through July 2026 Amid Global Oil Market Volatility

Brazils government has announced a two-month extension of its fuel subsidy and tax relief measures, ensuring that support programs remain in place until July 31, 2026. The decision aims to protect consumers and businesses...

Kevin Warsh Faces Early Fed Test as Inflation Risks Challenge Rate-Cut Expectations

Bank of America (BofA) analysts believe incoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh could face a difficult policy environment as rising inflation and economic uncertainty complicate the outlook for U.S. interest rates....

US Launches New Trade Investigation Into Vietnam Over Intellectual Property Concerns

The United States has initiated a new trade investigation into Vietnams handling of intellectual property (IP) rights, a move that could eventually lead to additional tariffs on Vietnamese imports. The investigation,...

US Dollar Slips as Markets Weigh Potential US-Iran Peace Deal and Oil Price Outlook

The U.S. dollar weakened slightly on Friday as investor confidence improved following comments from President Donald Trump regarding a possible peace agreement between the United States and Iran. The prospect of easing...

Asian Currencies Steady as U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Extension Hopes Weigh on Dollar

Asian currencies traded in a narrow range on Friday while the U.S. dollar remained largely unchanged, as investors assessed reports suggesting the United States and Iran are close to extending their ceasefire agreement....

Politics

US Plans Faster Military Drawdown in Europe, NATO Allies Face Greater Defense Role

The United States is reportedly preparing to accelerate the reduction of its military presence across Europe, signaling a major shift in NATO defense strategy. According to a report published by Germanys Welt am Sonntag,...

US to Accelerate Troop Withdrawal from Europe, NATO Allies to Review Plans Next Month

The United States is reportedly preparing to speed up the withdrawal of its military personnel from bases across Europe, according to a report published by Germanys Welt am Sonntag. The newspaper cited an unnamed Pentagon...

Trump Adviser’s Investment in Thrive Capital Draws Scrutiny Over Federal Contracts

A senior adviser in President Donald Trumps administration is facing scrutiny after a report revealed his involvement in government contract matters connected to companies backed by a venture capital firm in which he held...

US Southern Command Chief Holds Rare Military Meeting With Cuban Officials at Guantanamo Bay

A rare high-level military meeting between the United States and Cuba took place at the perimeter of the U.S. Naval Station at Guantanamo Bay, marking a significant development in U.S.-Cuba relations amid growing...

Trump Nears Decision on Iran Ceasefire Extension as Key Disputes Remain

U.S. President Donald Trump said Friday that he is close to making a final decision on a proposed agreement to extend the current ceasefire with Iran, although major disagreements between Washington and Tehran continue to...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

Technology

Nvidia and Microsoft to Launch AI-Powered Windows PCs at Computex 2026

Nvidia and Microsoft are reportedly preparing to introduce a new generation of Windows PCs powered by Nvidia-designed processors, marking a significant step in the evolution of AI-enabled personal computing. According to...

SoftBank to Invest €75 Billion in France AI Data Center Expansion by 2031

SoftBank Group (TYO: 9984) has announced plans to invest up to 75 billion ($87.5 billion) in France to develop and operate 5 gigawatts (GW) of artificial intelligence data center capacity, marking one of the largest AI...

Kentucky School District Secures $27 Million in Social Media Addiction Lawsuit Settlements

A Kentucky school district has secured nearly $27 million in settlements from major social media companies over allegations that their platforms contributed to a growing student mental health crisis. The financial details,...

MongoDB Q1 FY2027 Earnings Beat Expectations, Raises Full-Year Outlook

MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) delivered stronger-than-expected first-quarter fiscal 2027 results, fueled by growing demand for its database platform among enterprises and organizations developing artificial intelligence...

SpaceX IPO Could Become Largest in History with $1.8 Trillion Valuation Target

Elon Musks SpaceX is reportedly moving forward with plans for a historic initial public offering (IPO), targeting a valuation of at least $1.8 trillion. According to a Bloomberg News report citing sources familiar with the...
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