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FxWirePro: GBP/CHF finds major trendline support at 1.2455, weakness only on break below

GBP/CHF chart on Trading View used for analysis

  • Pound spiked yesterday as Germany and the UK both expressed a willingness to drop key requirements from their Brexit negotiations.
     
  • It later trims daily gains across the board after German officials denied Brexit concessions.
     
  • Earlier on Wednesday, UK’s Service PMI came in above estimates at 54.3 for the month of August lending support to the pound.
     
  • Long-term trend in the pair remains bearish, price action below cloud and major moving averages.
     
  • The pair is extending weakness after being rejected at 200-W SMA. Technical indicators on weekly charts are highly bearish. 
     
  • Break below 61.8% Fib has raised scope for further weakness. Test of 78.6% Fib at 1.2227 levels looks likely. 
     
  • The pair is holding support at 1.2455, break below to see resumption of weakness. Breakout above 55-EMA to see upside till 200-DMA.

Support levels - 1.2524 (5-DMA), 1.2455 (trendline support), 1.2227 (78.6% Fib)

Resistance levels - 1.2575 (61.8% Fib), 1.2648 (21-EMA), 1.2846 (55-EMA) 

Recommendation: Stay short on break below 1.2455, SL: 1.2575, TP: 1.23/ 1.2230
 

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