FxWirePro: Gold falls on easing geopolitical tension,good to sell on rallies

Gold has lost nearly $15 from yesterday’s high of $1295 on easing trade war tension between US and China and recovering global stock prices. It is currently trading around $1284.50.

The major three factors that drive gold prices

 US dollar Index: neutral. DXY has formed a double bottom around 95.65 and shown a minor jump from that level. The index should break below 95.65 for further weakness. Any break below targets 95/94.80.Major trend reversal level is around 97.75.(slightly positive for gold).

USD/JPY: Neutral. USDJPY has shown a good recovery of more than 400 pips after a huge sell-off . The pair hits high of 108.99 and is currently trading around 108.78. Slightly negative for gold.

 US 10 year yield : US 10 year yield has recovered more than 6.5% after hitting 12-month low at 2.54%. The yield has declined sharply in past two months and lost nearly 22% from high of 3.25%.It is currently trading around 2.69%.Slightly negative for Gold.

 US 2 year yield: It is trading around 2.54% and jumped more than 8% from the low. The spread between US 10 year and 2 year has declined to 16 bpbs from 30 basis point. The spread between 5 year and 2- year yield has inverted (US 5 year yield trading below US2 year yield).

Gold technical

Major support $1183

 On the higher side, yellow metal hits low of $1276.70 and shown a good jump.Any break above $1300 will take the gold to next level till $1320.

The near term support is around $1275 and any violation below will drag the commodity down till $1266/$1252/$1242 /$1234.

 It is good to sell on rallies around $1290-92 with SL around $1300 for the TP of $1266.