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- USD/JPY holds above 102 handle, we see weakness onbreak below.
- Upside finds stiff resistance at 102.57 to 102.71 zone - 102.57 (38.2% Fib), 102.62 (50-DMA), 102.71 (10-DMA).
- Major trend is down, bearish invalidation only on break above 103 levels.
- Likelihood of another BoJ disappointment at the Sept 21 meet is rising, putting upside risk to the near-term path for JPY.
- Downside finds strong support by 20-DMA at 101.61. On a clear break below the 20-DMA we see scope for test of 98.90 (trendline).
Recommendation: Good to short decisive break below 20-DMA, target: 101/ 100.75/ 99.55/ 99
