French far-right leader Marine Le Pen faces a pivotal moment in her political career as a court delivers its verdict on Monday in an embezzlement trial that could prevent her from running in the 2027 presidential election. Le Pen, head of the National Rally (RN), is currently a leading candidate in early polls. A guilty verdict with an immediate five-year ban from public office could dramatically reshape French politics.
Le Pen and over 20 RN members are accused of misusing more than €3 million in European Parliament funds to pay party staff in France. Prosecutors argue the funds were improperly diverted, while the defense claims the payments were legitimate and reflect the broad scope of parliamentary work.
Prosecutors have requested a provisional execution clause, which would enforce the five-year ban immediately, even if Le Pen appeals. This rare legal move has sparked intense debate, with critics warning of potential judicial overreach in democratic processes.
Le Pen has denied wrongdoing and claims the case is politically motivated, echoing rhetoric similar to that used by former U.S. President Donald Trump regarding his legal challenges. In a recent interview, she expressed confidence in the court’s fairness, stating she doesn’t believe judges will "go that far."
If barred, her protégé, 29-year-old RN president Jordan Bardella, is expected to step in. Political analysts caution that a conviction could galvanize Le Pen’s base, reinforcing long-standing claims of elitist persecution against the far-right.
An acquittal, on the other hand, would strengthen Le Pen’s position as she continues to lead the RN's push toward the political mainstream. The verdict could either clear her path to the presidency or mark the end of her political ambitions.