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A new oil order has emerged over the past few years as oil prices have taken a plunge of about 60%. U.S., world’s one of key importer is about to become a major exporter of hydrocarbons. OPEC cartel, which has historically been a key player politically and price maker, losing its relevance and pricing power. On the energy front, renewables and gas becoming key challenger to oil’s global dominance. Moreover, this lower price is hitting energy exporters harder, creating global economic vulnerabilities. This new oil price and geo-political order demand greater analysis, which is the main focus of this series.

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil in Global Economy Series: Review of planned and unplanned supply disruption this year

Jun 10, 2016 06:10 am UTC| Commentary

One of the major factors that have been pushing crude oil prices higher issupply disruption both planned and unplanned. That supply disruption at one point taken away as much as 2.5 million barrels per day, off the market....

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil in Global Economy Series: For many $50/barrel oil is worse than $20/barrel

Jun 02, 2016 06:21 am UTC| Commentary

Oil prices have climbed more than 80% from their lows in February and currently, looking to challenge $50/barrel area, after a brief breach last week. But that is not good news for many, whose cost of production is much...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Crude oil updates ahead of inventory and OPEC meeting

Jun 01, 2016 10:33 am UTC| Insights & Views

Supply expected to tighten due to wildfire in Canada and declining lower 48, while demand stays strong. Diminished supply due to outages has nearly balanced the market as demand remains healthy. The ongoing low oil...

Oil in Global Economy Series

No major surprises expected from OPEC meeting

May 31, 2016 13:37 pm UTC| Commentary

A meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in Vienna is scheduled on June 2nd. Chinese manufacturing data ahead of OPEC meet to remain a key driver for oil prices. OPEC meeting is unlikely to...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Higher oil prices could see return of inflationary pressures to Asia

May 27, 2016 11:10 am UTC| Insights & Views

In emerging Asia, oil prices constitute a significant proportion of production costs for many items with large weights in the CPI baskets. Inflationary pressures are set to return to Asia as oil and food prices edge...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil in Global Economy Series: What fundamentals at play in oil market currently?

May 19, 2016 10:53 am UTC| Commentary

North American benchmark WTI, has risen 85% or more from its February low and up around 28%, so far this year. It is now challenging a key resistance ($49/barrel) around more important psychological level ($50/barrel). It...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Why should oil bulls be cautious?

May 17, 2016 08:42 am UTC| Commentary

Production drop in United States to 8.8 million barrels/day, close to 1.8 million per day production drop in Canada due to wildfire and outages in countries like Libya, Nigeria is fuelling the rise in oil prices. WTI is...

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