The growth rate of leading indicators in Australia is disappointing last five month as it is growing rate below trend. This gives an indication that the Australian economy will post a weaker growth rate in first half of 2016.
Australian government revised down its real GDP growth forecast to 2.5% in 2015/16 and 2.75% in 2016/17. Reserve Bank of Australia, in contrast, estimates 2.25% growth for 2015/16 and 2.5%-3.5% in 2016/17.
However, the growth rate is expected to remain marginally steady next two years, as no factors are found to give a strong boost to the economy. Therefore, the economy is expected to grow at 2.8% in 2015/16 and 2.7% in 2016/17, estimates Westpac.