Trump Demands Powell Resign Over Fed Renovation Cost Overruns 
Global Central Banks Brace for More Rate Hikes as Inflation Risks Rise 
Central Banks Could Buy 20,000 Tonnes of Gold: BofA 
Fed’s Hammack Says Bond Yield Surge Is Not Driven by Inflation Fears 
RBA Says ASX Still Falls Short on Governance and Risk Controls 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
Japanese Yen Retreats as Dollar Rises Ahead of Fed, BOJ Rate Decisions 
ECB May Stop Rate Hikes After December, Capital Economics Says 
Fed’s Williams Signals One More Rate Hike Before Year-End 
Add as a preferred source on Google
The pound has been struggling amid domestic political trouble, toning down of hawkish rhetoric from Bank of England (BoE), a materially strong dollar, uncertainties surrounding the Brexit transition deal between the European Union and the United Kingdom. In addition to that, the economy is still suffering from political uncertainties of a minority government, which is leading Brexit negotiation, one of the most complex in history. Amid these uncertainties, BoE is scheduled to announce interest rate decision at 12:00 GMT.
- Monetary policy is one of the two major directional and volatility risks for the pound with the other being Brexit.
BOE policy and expectation –
- After the referendum last year, the Bank of England (BoE) reduced rates by 25 basis points, introduced additional asset purchases of £60 billion, introduced £10 billion worth of corporate securities purchase, and £100 billion worth of targeted lending scheme, all to be funded via balance sheet expansion.
- With the UK economy performing much better than expected, the Bank of England (BoE) governor Mark Carney has increased rates by 50 basis points.
- However, the BoE toned down its hawkish rhetoric amid Brexit uncertainties and as the economy started slowing down.
Expectation today:
- No rate hike is expected today.
Impact –
- With speculation rising over higher interest rates all over the world, today’s decision would add major volatility in the pound based pairs. If another rate hike is hinted, the pound is likely to shoot higher, if not, the market would lead a temporary drop in the pound with focus on numbers of hawks at MPC. If the number increase, it would prove positive for the pound.
- Moreover, the focus for the pound is on the upcoming Brexit negotiations as well as on the uncertainties surrounding the current operating structure of the government, as well as the direction of the dollar. So, without any major change, it is likely to turn out as a non-event.
The pound is currently trading at 1.27 against the dollar.
